Texas HD-124 Press Release

Texas Capital Report | Legislative Intelligence

Bexar County’s Foster-Care Data Points to a Question of Scale, Capacity and Support

Rep. Josey Garcia is reviewing new federal and Texas child-welfare data ahead of the next legislative session, looking for where policy, funding and stronger caregiver support could improve stability for children and families.

#15
Bexar County’s U.S. rank among 3,222 counties and county equivalents by ACS estimated count
#3
Bexar County’s descriptive rank among all 254 Texas counties
7,480
ACS estimate for “foster child or other unrelated child” in Bexar County
1.47%
Estimated share within Bexar County’s B09018 child household universe

Bexar County stands out nationally for the number of children included in a Census household category that covers foster children and other unrelated children. But a second ranking tells a different story: Bexar does not stand out nationally for the share of children in that category.

That distinction is central to how State Rep. Josey Garcia is approaching the data. Rather than declaring a crisis from a single ranking, Garcia is using the numbers to ask what a county of Bexar’s size requires from Texas when thousands of children, caregivers, providers, caseworkers, schools and community organizations interact with formal and informal systems of care.

The intelligence finding: Bexar County appears to be a high-volume county, not a high-rate county. Its estimated count ranks near the top nationally, while its 1.47% share sits closer to the middle of the national county distribution. That points more directly toward service capacity, caregiver support and system scale than toward unusually high prevalence.
“When I look at these numbers, my first question is not who to blame. My first question is what do they mean for the children, the families and the people who are trying to care for them — and what can we do in the Legislature to make the system stronger?” State Rep. Josey Garcia, Texas House District 124

Bexar is one of the nation’s largest counties by estimated count

The 2024 American Community Survey five-year estimate places 7,480 children in Bexar County in the combined relationship category “foster child or other unrelated child.” That is the 15th-highest published county estimate among 3,222 U.S. counties and county equivalents and the third-highest among Texas counties.

The estimate has a margin of error of approximately ±1,306, with a relative margin of error of about 17.5%. Under the National Data System’s current reliability rules, that county estimate is classified as HIGH reliability.

Texas Rank County ACS Estimate Margin of Error Reliability
1 Harris 17,093 ±2,403 HIGH
2 Tarrant 7,647 ±1,188 HIGH
3 Bexar 7,480 ±1,306 HIGH
4 Dallas 7,446 ±1,218 HIGH
5 Travis 3,582 ±824 HIGH
Selected Texas Counties by Estimated Count
ACS 2024 5-Year B09018 — “Foster child or other unrelated child.” Bars show estimated count, not rate.
Harris County17,093
Tarrant County7,647
Bexar County7,480
Dallas County7,446

The share ranking changes the interpretation

The same Census data can be viewed as a share of children in the B09018 household universe. Bexar’s combined-category estimate represents approximately 1.47% of that universe. Its derived share has a margin of error of approximately ±0.257 percentage points and is also classified as HIGH reliability.

But Bexar ranks only about 1,795th of 3,222 U.S. counties and county equivalents by share. In other words, Bexar is not unusually high once the size of its child household population is considered.

Why that matters: A high raw count can create large demands for placements, caregiver assistance, transportation, schools, childcare, mental-health services and case management even when the underlying rate is not unusually high. For lawmakers, that is principally a capacity and resource-allocation question.

DFPS data raises a second set of questions

Census household estimates are only one part of the picture. Texas Department of Family and Protective Services administrative data separately shows substantial changes in Bexar County’s formal foster-care system.

Average Monthly Children and Youth in Paid Foster Care — Bexar County
DFPS administrative data. The decline spans years affected by the COVID-19 emergency and recovery period and should not be interpreted without additional agency context.
FY20212,024
FY20221,648
FY20231,457
FY20241,279
FY20251,149

Average monthly unique children and youth in paid foster care declined from 2,024 in FY2021 to 1,149 in FY2025 — a decrease of 875, or approximately 43.2%. That decline could reflect positive developments such as fewer removals, stronger family preservation, faster reunification or other permanency outcomes. It could also reflect changes in placement classifications, provider capacity, payment policies, Community-Based Care implementation or reporting practices.

Garcia has said the data should prompt questions rather than conclusions, particularly because portions of the period overlap the COVID-19 public-health emergency and recovery years, when courts, agencies, schools, providers and local governments operated under extraordinary conditions.

Sibling placement is emerging as a legislative concern

The Bexar County sibling-placement data presents another issue Garcia wants to understand before the next session. For FY2025, the current backbone reports 463 sibling groups across the available placement categories: 270 groups were reported as placed together and 193 were reported as not placed together.

270
Sibling groups reported as placed together
193
Sibling groups reported as not placed together
114
Groups of three or more reported as placed together
122
Groups of three or more reported as not placed together

Those figures do not reveal why individual siblings were separated. Safety needs, treatment requirements, court decisions and different levels of care may all play a role. Garcia’s policy question is whether some separations also reflect a shortage of homes able to accept larger sibling groups or insufficient support for caregivers willing to do so.

What Garcia is considering before the next session

Sibling Preservation

Better information on reasons for separation, duration, visitation, placement distance and capacity for larger sibling groups.

Kinship and Caregiver Stability

Review childcare, transportation, housing, respite care, legal assistance and financial support for relatives and other caregivers.

Placement Capacity

Determine whether Texas has the right mix of family-based homes, kinship placements, emergency care and higher-acuity services where children actually live.

Data and Accountability

Improve public reporting on placement stability, length of stay, sibling outcomes, permanency, re-entry and provider/service capacity.

“I want DFPS and our community partners to tell us what they need from the Legislature. If a law needs to change, I want to understand why. If funding is the barrier, I want to know where. If providers need additional capacity or flexibility, I want that information before we are on the House floor deciding what Texas will fund for the next two years.” State Rep. Josey Garcia

Garcia’s office is preparing additional requests for background information from DFPS and intends to hear from foster families, kinship caregivers, providers, advocates and young adults with lived foster-care experience as legislative options are developed.

About the data. The Census measure used in this analysis is ACS 2024 five-year Detailed Table B09018, “Relationship to Householder for Children Under 18 Years in Households.” The selected category is “Foster child or other unrelated child.” It is not a foster-child-only count and is not equivalent to the DFPS administrative caseload. The Census and DFPS evidence families are maintained separately in the National Data System Foster Care U.S. Backbone.
Source framework: U.S. Census Bureau, 2024 American Community Survey 5-Year Detailed Table B09018; Texas Department of Family and Protective Services administrative data; National Data System Foster Care U.S. Backbone and governed ranking/publication layers. Rankings are descriptive and should be interpreted with the accompanying margin of error and reliability classification.
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